Aryna Sabalenka vs. Qinwen Zheng Predictions & Match Preview – Miami Open Quarter-Finals 2025

Game Info

Date: Tuesday, March 25, 2025

Time: 7:00PM ET

Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, USA

Where to Watch: ESPN, Tennis Channel, WTA TV

Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng Betting Odds

Bookmaker	Sabalenka Odds	Zheng Odds
BetMGM	-350	+275
DraftKings	-360	+280
FanDuel	-340	+265

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Qinwen Zheng Preview

Aryna Sabalenka’s Road to the Quarter-Finals

World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka is hitting her stride again after a shaky Middle East swing. Following unexpected early exits in Qatar and Dubai, she regained momentum at the Sunshine Double, reaching the Indian Wells final and cruising into the Miami Open quarter-finals without dropping a set.

In her last match, the Belarusian took down defending champion Danielle Collins in straight sets (6-4, 6-4), marking her 20th win of the season. However, Miami has historically been a tricky tournament for Sabalenka—despite her dominance on the WTA Tour, she has never progressed beyond the quarter-finals here.

Can she break the Miami curse this time? The stats suggest she has a strong chance, given her dominant 5-0 record against Zheng and her ability to elevate her game in high-stakes matches.

Qinwen Zheng’s Road to the Quarter-Finals

Qinwen Zheng has been steadily rebuilding her form after a rocky start to 2025. The 22-year-old Olympic champion struggled early in the year, losing three of her first four matches, but she has looked much sharper in the U.S., with only one loss (to Iga Swiatek) since arriving for the Sunshine Double.

Zheng has powered through the Miami Open so far, winning all her matches in straight sets. She defeated Ashlyn Krueger (6-2, 7-6[3]) in the Round of 16, showing composure under pressure. However, the Chinese star faces a mental hurdle—she has lost all five of her previous meetings against Sabalenka, with just one set to show for it.

With coach Pere Riba back in her corner and renewed confidence, Zheng will be eager to rewrite history in Miami.

Sabalenka vs. Zheng: Head-to-Head

Sabalenka leads the H2H 5-0.

Zheng has won just one set in their five meetings.

All encounters have been on hard courts.

Sabalenka vs. Zheng Key Stats

1. Sabalenka is 20-4 in 2025, while Zheng holds a 6-4 record.

2. Sabalenka has never reached the Miami Open semi-finals.

3. Zheng has not defeated a top-10 player this season.

4. Sabalenka has not dropped a set in Miami 2025.

5. Zheng has won six consecutive matches in straight sets.

Sabalenka vs. Zheng Player Props

1. Aryna Sabalenka Total Games Won Over 12.5 @ -120 (BetMGM) – Given her dominance over Zheng, expect Sabalenka to control the match and rack up games.

2. Qinwen Zheng to Win at Least One Set @ +150 (DraftKings) – Zheng has improved throughout the Sunshine Double and may push Sabalenka harder this time.

Sabalenka vs. Zheng Final Prediction

History heavily favors Sabalenka, who has dominated this rivalry. However, Zheng has looked much sharper in recent weeks and will be highly motivated to break her losing streak. If Sabalenka maintains her form, she should win in straight sets, but Zheng could push her close.

Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka to win in two tight sets. Expect a competitive match, but Sabalenka’s power and experience should be the difference.