Novak Djokovic vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction & Odds to Win | 2023 Miami Open Round of 32
- Hashim Kolawole
- Mar 22
- 2 min read
Match Info
Date: Sunday, March 24, 2024
Time: TBD
Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, Florida
Where to Watch: ESPN, Tennis Channel
Player | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under Total Games |
Novak Djokovic | -1200 | -5.5 (-110) | O 19.5 (-115) |
Camilo Ugo Carabelli | +700 | +5.5 (-110) | U 19.5 (-115) |
Match Preview
World No. 1 Novak Djokovic resumes his Miami Open pursuit against the upstart Argentine Camilo Ugo Carabelli, who has been a Cinderella through the tournament. A six-time champion in Miami, Djokovic brushed off Rinky Hijikata in his last round 6-0, 7-6 (7-1), while Carabelli edged the American Alex Michelsen in a three-set barnburner.
Djokovic’s delivery has been one of his best weapons. He is hitting 80% of his first serves — and winning an astounding 85% of them. Though his form in the past few tournaments has been wobbly, he is still one of the hardest players to beat on a hard court. Carabelli, though, has fought his way back, winning three straight after dropping the first set. But he has never played someone of Djokovic’s caliber.
Novak Djokovic vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli Key Stats
Djokovic has held serve on 88 percent of his service chances on hard courts this year.
Carabelli has won four of his past five Round of 32 matches.
Djokovic had not lost prior to the Round of 16 in Miami since 2018.
Carabelli has played three straight three-set matches in this tournament.
Best Bets & Player Props
Djokovic to Win in Straight Sets (-250)
The Serb’s power and precision are likely to prove too much for Carabelli, who has never defeated a top-10 player.
Under 19.5 Total Games (-115)
Djokovic tends to wipe the floor with early-round matches, so this is a good play.
Djokovic -5.5 Games (-110)
The 24-time Grand Slam champ easily controls the match and easily covers the spread.
Novak Djokovic vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli Final Prediction
Djokovic wins in straight sets (6-2, 6-3). Carabelli’s remarkable run will probably end against one of the best players ever in tennis history.
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