Novak Djokovic vs Grigor Dimitrov Predictions & Betting Odds – Miami Open Semi-Final 2025

Game Info

Date: March 28, 2025

Time : 3:00 PM (ET)

Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, Florida

Where to watch: ESPN, Tennis Channel

Novak Djokovic vs Grigor Dimitrov Runner

Novak Djokovic vs Grigor Dimitrov Betting Odds

Bookmaker	Novak Djokovic Odds	Grigor Dimitrov Odds
BetMGM	-500	+375
DraftKings	-475	+350

Preview – Novak Djokovic vs Grigor Dimitrov

Novak Djokovic Preview

At 37 years and 10 months, Novak Djokovic shows no signs of slowing down, reaching yet another Masters 1000 semi-final, becoming the oldest player to ever do so. The No. 1-ranked player has sailed through the Miami Open, losing just one set on the way to the final four. In the quarter-finals, he defeated Sebastian Korda 6-3, 7-6(4), displaying his trademark precision and mental fortitude.

With a 12-1 head-to-head advantage over Dimitrov and an overall 48-7 record in Miami, Djokovic comes in as the heavy favorite. He has not made it to a final here since 2016, but his form suggests he is ready to rewrite that history.

Djokovic’s Route to the Semifinal:

Second Round: def. Rinky Hijikata 6-0, 7-6(1)

Third Round: def. 6-1, 7-6(1)

Round of 16: def. Lorenzo Musetti 6-2, 6-2

Quarter-Final: def. Sebastian Korda 6-3, 7-6(4)

Grigor Dimitrov Preview

Grigor Dimitrov’s path to the semi-finals has not been easy. The 33-year-old Bulgarian has survived two marathon matches, the last a 2-hour, 48-minute clash with Francisco Cerundolo in the quarters. Earlier he had survived yet another three-setter, this one against Karen Khachanov, testing his endurance again.

Dimitrov, a former No. 3 and who has beaten Djokovic only once since 2013, is looking for his first Masters 1000 final since Cincinnati in 2017. Even though his variety and shot-making can be a challenge for opponents, fatigue is going to be a major concern against the fresher, more clinical version of Djokovic.

Dimitrov’s Road to the Semi-Final:

Second Round: def. Federico Cina 6-1, 6-4

Third Round: def. Karen Khachanov 6-7(3), 6-4, 7-5

Round of 16: def. Brandon Nakashima 6-4, 7-5

Quarter-Final: def. Francisco Cerundolo 6-7(6), 6-4, 7-6(3)

Novak Djokovic vs Grigor Dimitrov Key stats

Djokovic leads their head-to-head, 12-1, with Dimitrov’s lone victory coming in 2013.

Djokovic is 48-7 in Miami, the site of six of his titles.

Dimitrov's record in Masters semi-finals is poor (3-8) while Djokovic has won 58 Masters semi-finals.

Djokovic has won 99 ATP Tour titles, one short of membership in the 100-title club shared by Federer and Connors.

Novak Djokovic vs Grigor Dimitrov Match Props

Novak Djokovic to Win in Straight Sets (−175, BetMGM) — Thankfully, we know a thing or two about this matchup: It has long been Djokovic territory, and Dimitrov’s fatigue may prevent him from putting up much of a fight.

Total Games Under 21.5, -110 (DraftKings) — Djokovic has been a machine in Miami, and this match could end quickly if Dimitrov can’t hold up physically.

First Round Prediction for 2023 Novak Djokovic vs Grigor Dimitrov

Djokovic has all the aces in this matchup — better form, better fitness and a dominant head-to-head record. Dimitrov’s best course of action would be to come out swinging, to try to throw Djokovic’s rhythm off line, but that’s easier said than done. On the men’s side, expect Djokovic to exert his will with his great tactical precision and close this up in straight sets.

Prediction: Novak Djokovic by win 3 sets.