Real Madrid vs Arsenal Predictions & Player Props [April 17, 2025]
- Hashim Kolawole
- 4 days ago
- 2 min read
They're up against it though: Real Madrid will need to scale an Everest-sized mountain at the Santiago Bernabeu as they try to get the better of a 3-0 first-leg deficit against Arsenal in the quarter-finals of the UEFA Champions League. Mikel Arteta’s Gunners served up a statement performance at the Emirates and now look to seal the deal in hostile territory on Wednesday night.
Game Info
Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2025
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid, Spain
Where to Watch: CBS, Paramount+, TNT Sports
Betting Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total Goals |
Real Madrid | -1.0 | -115 | Over 2.5 (-150) |
Arsenal | +1.0 | +250 | Under 2.5 (+125) |
Draw | – | +275 | – |
Preview
Real Madrid Preview
Los Blancos have faced their share of Champions League drama, but a 3-0 deficit is more daunting, even for them. The only time before that they managed to overturn such margins in Europe was against Derby County in 1976. Ancelotti will be praying for Bernabeu magic once more but his team is without some key players, most notably Eduardo Camavinga, who is being joined on the sidelines by Ferland Mendy. Jude Bellingham and Vinicius Jr. will likely return to the lineup with Mbappe, who has not scored a direct free kick this season.
Starting XI: Courtois; Valverde, Asencio, Rudiger, Alaba; Tchouameni, Modric; Rodrygo, Bellingham, Vinicius Jr; Mbappe
Arsenal Preview
Having outclassed Madrid in the first leg, thanks to star performances from Declan Rice and Mikel Merino, Arteta’s side will be full of confidence. Although the Gunners are without several key names in the likes of Gabriel Jesus, Havertz and Tomiyasu, they’ve remained unbeaten in nine matches across all competitions and have found the net in each of their past eight. The Gunners will seek to dictate play, at least make them look composed in the opening phase of play.
Starting XI: Raya; Timber, Saliba, Kiwior, Lewis-Skelly; Odegaard, Partey, Rice; Saka, Merino, Martinelli
Key Stats
Each of the last 10 UCL home matches for Real Madrid saw the net shake
Arsenal are without loss in their last 9 matches (W5, D4)
It is the first time Real Madrid have lost at home by 3+ goals in the European Cup/Champions League YouMayOnlyLiveOnce
This is his 3rd match vs Real Madrid this season, in them he already has 4 goals
Most shots on target by either side in a UCL knockout fixture vs. Real Madrid (1870-2023) – 1st leg: 11
Player Props
Declan Rice Anytime Goalscorer (+700): Hit two free-kicks in the first leg and is full of confidence from distance.
Jude Bellingham Over 0.5 Assists (+240): Bellingham should occupy a more aggressive role and find ways to free Vinicius or Mbappe.
Both Teams to Score – Yes (-145): Real Madrid are on the hunt for goals, but they also give up a lot defensively and Arsenal consistently find the net.
Final Prediction
Real Madrid 0-1 Arsenal (Arsenal win 4-0 on aggregate)Madrid will rollick out of the gate, and they’ll likely not score because of the solid Arsenal Defense, but Arsenal’s organization and how they attack through transition should give them one back on the counter. That would snuff out the tie, sending the holders crashing out with a whimper.
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