Todays MLB Top 3 Homerun Props 4/19/25

Hey baseball fanatics! Get hyped for some awesome home run prop bets for tomorrow, April 19th, 2025. We've dug deep, thanks to the data-crunching power of Pine Sports' AI Betting Agent, JaXon, to bring you the top three players most likely to go yard. Forget endless stats – we've got the juicy analysis and direct betting links right here, making it super easy for you to potentially score big on these MLB matchups. Let's get ready for some dingers!

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The Bryce Harper Bomb (Philadelphia Phillies)

• Odds to Hit a Home Run: +325

• Best Book: ESPN Bet

• Analysis:

  
  

  Harper is heating up, hitting 2 home runs in his last 3 games while maintaining a .412 xwOBA in 49 career plate appearances against Marlins' ace Sandy Alcantara. Despite Alcantara's strong overall numbers, he has struggled against left-handed hitters this season, allowing a .341 wOBA. Citizens Bank Park, the second-most favorable park for left-handed power hitters, further boosts Harper's chances. Harper's recent form and favorable matchup make this a strong value play.

The Oneil Cruz Bomb (Pittsburgh Pirates)

• Odds to Hit a Home Run: +428

• Best Book: Pinnacle

• Confidence Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)

• Analysis:

  
  

  Cruz has hit a home run in 60% of his last 5 games and has a 100% hit rate for this prop in his only matchup against the Guardians this season. His elite bat speed and ability to barrel the ball make him a constant power threat, especially at home, where he has a 30% hit rate for this prop. The Guardians’ pitching staff has struggled with hard-hit balls, making this a strong value play.

The Matt McLain Bomb (Cincinnati Reds)

• Odds to Hit a Home Run: +625

• Best Book: Pinnacle

• Confidence Rating: ⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)

• Analysis:

  
  

  McLain has a 33.33% hit rate for this prop over the season and homered in his last game against the Orioles. While his overall home run rate is lower than Harper and Cruz, his recent success against Baltimore and the high odds (+625) make this a worthwhile longshot bet. However, his lower consistency compared to the other two players slightly reduces the confidence level.

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The Conclusion!

All three players offer positive expected value on their home run props, with Matt McLain providing the best value as a longshot bet. Bryce Harper and Oneil Cruz are also strong plays, given their recent form and favorable matchups.