Todays Top MLB Homerun Props for 4/29/25
- Lee Shipley
- 8 hours ago
- 2 min read
Get ready for some dingers! With April 29th, 2025, just around the corner, the long ball is on our minds. Powered by the cutting-edge analysis of Pine Sports AI, we've dug deep into the numbers – slugging percentages, opposing pitcher matchups, and those oh-so-hitter-friendly ballparks – to bring you the top home run prop recommendations for tomorrow's games. Each pick comes complete with a detailed breakdown of the factors at play and a direct betting link, making it easier than ever to get in on the action. Let's get ready to watch some baseballs fly!
The Rafael Devers Bomb (Boston Red Sox)
Matchup: Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
Odds: Over 0.5 HR at +282 (Pinnacle)
Analysis:
Devers has a 42.86% hit rate against the Blue Jays in 2024 and is playing in Rogers Centre, a hitter-friendly park. While his recent form is slightly below average, his historical success against Toronto makes him a solid pick.
The Mark Vientos Bomb
(New York Mets)
Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Mets
Odds: Over 0.5 HR at +400 (ESPN Bet)
Analysis:
Vientos has a 30% hit rate for home runs in his last 10 games and a .18 HR/game average at home this season. With the Diamondbacks’ pitching staff ranking poorly against power hitters, Vientos offers solid value.
The Dylan Crews Bomb (Washington Nationals)
Matchup: Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies
Odds: Over 0.5 HR at +800 (ESPN Bet)
Analysis:
Crews has a 30% hit rate for home runs in his last 10 games and a .22 HR/game average on the road. Citizens Bank Park’s hitter-friendly dimensions enhance his chances of going deep.
Summary Confidence Ratings
PlayerConfidence RatingKey Factors
Dylan Crews⭐️⭐️ (2/5) Low HR hit rate, poor matchup history, limited road power.
Rafael Devers⭐️⭐️⭐️ (3/5) Decent historical success vs. Toronto, hitter-friendly park, but recent struggles.
Mark Vientos⭐️⭐️⭐️ (3/5) Modest HR hit rate, decent odds, but inconsistent power production.