Todays Top NBA Player Props 4/28/25
- Lee Shipley
- 2 minutes ago
- 2 min read
Yo NBA fans! Looking to spice up tonight's games? I've got the inside scoop on some seriously juicy player props. My picks, fueled by data from Pine Sports, are all about finding you the best bang for your buck, highlighting the biggest gaps between the initial odds and my projections. You'll get the full breakdown on each play, plus a direct link to lock in your bets. Let's get this bread!
Amen Thompson - Assists (Over 3.5) -130
Opponent: Golden State Warriors
Defense vs. Position Rank: 9th
Recent Performance:
Hit the over in 80% of his last 5 games, averaging 5.0 assists.
Against the Warriors this season, he has a 62.5% hit rate on this line.
Season Stats:
Hit the over in 54.17% of games, averaging 3.86 assists.
Odds: -130
Recommendation: Thompson's recent form and matchup against a mid-tier defense make this a solid pick.
Bet Link: ESPN Bet
Jabari Smith Jr. - Points (Over 8.5)
Opponent: Golden State Warriors
Defense vs. Position Rank: 11th
Recent Performance:
Hit the over in 90% of his last 10 games, averaging 12.1 points.
Against the Warriors this season, he has a 71.43% hit rate on this line.
Season Stats:
Hit the over in 70% of games this season, averaging 12.1 points.
Odds: -125
Recommendation: Smith Jr. has been in excellent form, and the Warriors' defense against his position is average. This line offers strong value.
Bet Link: ESPN Bet
Jimmy Butler - Steals
( Over 1.5 )
Hit Rate: Butler has hit over 1.5 steals in 60% of his last 5 games and 80% of his last 10 games, showcasing his consistency in generating turnovers.
Average Steals: Over his last 10 games, Butler is averaging 2.5 steals per game, which is well above the 1.5 line set for this prop.
Season Context: While his season average is slightly lower at 1.47 steals per game, his recent form and playoff intensity suggest an upward trend.
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