UFC 311 is upon us at last! With a stacked main card fans can look forward to an exciting night full of world class fights.
2 titles are on the line on this card. Georgian born Merab “The Machine” Dvashvili and surging contender Umar “Young Eagle” Nurmagomedov. In the much anticipated rematch. The 155 pound strap is on the line for the rematch between the reigning champion and number one pound for pound fighter in the world Islam Makachev vs a very game Arman Tsarukyen.
The Fight & The Pick for UFC 311!
This play will focus on the co-main and main events of the evening.
We are going to use a 2 leg parlay hedged with a method bet. The Dagestanis coming out of Camp Khabib parlayed together get you a nice -125 (100$ would pay out about $180)
Merab by Dec pays a +350. This is our insurance hedge (25$ pays 112.50)
The MMA Pickers Reasoning!
With $125 invested into this play you are looking at a very strong chance at hitting the $180 on the 2 heavy favorites. The biggest caveat is the odds are a bit too generous in Umar’s favor. Merab has won 12 straight at this point and the vast majority have come by DEC. Umar will also have the highest wrestling pedigree of any opponent Merab has faced to date. If Merab is able to execute his normal game plan despite this the very likely outcome would be a DEC.
In order for there to be a total loss there would need to be a Merab finish (1 of his last 11 wins resulted in a finish) or Islam would have to lose to Arman. Every other outcome results in a cover or a win.
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