Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-7) vs Washington Commanders (12-5)
Game Info: Sunday, January 12, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Raymond James Stadium)
Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 -- Over/Under: 50.5
The Washington Commanders & Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Game Preview!
The Washington Commanders are taking on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this Sunday in the NFC Wild Card Playoffs at Raymond James Stadium. Check out our prediction for the Washington Commanders vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers game. We’ll also share our pick for the matchup.
Matchup/League Facts
Heading into the Wild Card Round, the Buccaneers ranked 1st in the NFL in time of possession per game (32:27) during the reg. season.
Heading into the Wild Card Round, the Buccaneers ranked 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (50.9%) during the reg. season.
Heading into the Wild Card Round, the Commanders ranked T2nd in the NFL in Q4 points per game (8.6) during the reg. season.
Heading into the Wild Card Round, the Commanders ranked 2nd in the NFL in Q2 opponent points per game (4.6) during the reg. season.
The Washington Commanders Team Preview!
The Washington Commanders recently beat the Eagles, Falcons, and Cowboys. The Washington Commanders have won 5 of their last 7 road games. Jayden Daniels is completing 69 percent of his passes for 3,568 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz have combined for 1,753 receiving yards and 20 touchdowns, while Olamide Zaccheaus has 45 receptions.
The Washington Commanders' running game is putting up an average of 154.1 yards each game, with Daniels leading the charge with 891 yards and 6 touchdowns. On the defensive side, Washington is giving up 23 points and 326.9 yards per game. Bobby Wagner is at the top for the Commanders with 132 tackles, Dante Fowler Jr. has racked up 10.5 sacks, and Mike Sainristil has snagged 2 interceptions.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
Brian Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Commanders as road underdogs.
Zach Ertz has recorded 40+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with a total points line of at least 50.0.
Jayden Daniels has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Commanders' last four games played on the East Coast.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers Team Preview!
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers recently lost to the Cowboys, while they beat the Panthers and Saints. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 3 straight home games. Baker Mayfield is completing 71.4 percent of his passes for 4,500 yards, 41 touchdowns, and 16 interceptions. Mike Evans and Cade Otton have combined for 1,6004 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns, while Chris Godwin has 50 receptions.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are running the ball pretty well, averaging 149.2 yards each game, with Bucky Irving leading the charge with 1,122 yards and 8 touchdowns. On defense, they're giving up 22.6 points and 341.8 yards per game. Lavonte David is the top tackler with 122 tackles, Calijah Kancey has racked up 7.5 sacks, and Zyon McCollum has snagged 2 interceptions.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts
Jalen McMillan has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Buccaneers' last five Sunday games.
Baker Mayfield has recorded 24+ completions in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC East opponents.
Baker Mayfield has recorded 275+ passing yards in each of the Buccaneers' last four games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
The Washington Commanders & Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Game Prediction!
The Pick: The Buccaneers -2.5 -125
The Washington Commanders are looking pretty tempting with those points since they're a team that's confident and used to winning. They're on a hot streak with five wins in a row. Jayden Daniels is one of the most self-assured rookies out there, and it wouldn't be a surprise if he leads the Commanders on a big run. But let's not forget, the Buccaneers are a powerhouse on offense, ranking in the top five for total offense, passing, rushing, and scoring. If Mayfield and the crew keep playing like this, nobody in the NFC will want to go up against them. Plus, the Commanders' strength is their running game, and the Bucs' defense is tough against the run, ranking fourth. The Buccaneers are the NFC's sleeper team because their offense can take over a game like few others in the NFL. I'm going with the field goal.
Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win
The Commanders have lost each of their last five postseason games against NFC opponents.
The Buccaneers have won each of their last five games played on the East Coast.
The home team has covered the spread in six of the Commanders' last seven games.
The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
The Commanders have lost the first half in four of their last five postseason games.
The Commanders have lost the first quarter in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NFC South opponents.
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